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Forum » Allgemeines » Interessantes » www.theseahawksfanshop.com

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# 15.01.2019 - 09:06:57
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The Seattle Seahawks and Carolina Panthers have developed an
unexpected rivalry since 2010
George Fant
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, meeting for the ninth time on Sunday since
Pete Carroll came back to the NFL. The Seahawks are 6-2 in those
games, including 1-1 in the playoffs, and this week’s game has bigger
playoff implications than any of the regular season meetings that came
before it. If Seattle wins, they have an advantage in the wild card
races. If the Panthers win, they’ll have a two-game lead and a
tiebreaker over the Seahawks, almost assuring that it would take a
mini-miracle for Seattle to overcome them in the next five games.It’s
that important, so to gauge how different this Carolina team is from
the past iterations, I sent five Qs to Walker Clement of Cat Scratch
Reader and in kind he sent me five corresponding As. This is 5 Qs, 5
As.Q: What would you call the Panthers best win of the season, what’s
been their worst loss, and what was the main difference for Carolina
between those two games?A: The best and worst games of the season
bookended a three week run for the Panthers. They hosted the Ravens
during Week 8 when Baltimore still boasted the number 1 defense in the
NFL. Cam Newton and company burned them in about every direction you
can think of, taking full advantage of an impressive collection of
skill players with speed to spare. The Panthers defense forced three
turnovers in one of their best efforts to seal a game that was never
really in doubt. This was the game that marked Carolina’s arrival as a
team that was destined for the playoffs. They followed it up with what
they thought was an absolute thrashing of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and
all was well until Week 10 happened.The Pittsburgh Steelers taught the
Panthers what beat down actually looks like, to the tune of a 52-21
loss. The Panthers weakness at left tackle got exposed by aggressive
and varied blitzes. This caused the whole line to ultimately fall
apart and allow Cam to be sacked five(!) times. This time the defense
didn’t force any turnovers to go along with their zero sacks. Instead
the put on a clinic to teach America’s youth how not to tackle. Head
down, arms at your side, dive at the ground in the vicinity of the
ball carrier. That’s an NFL defense right there, per their
uniforms.The difference on offense is obvious. It took eight weeks for
somebody to decide to test a left tackle the Panthers signed off a
couch on Wednesday of Week 2 and who has played almost every snap
since then. The defense is a little harder to figure out. Luke
Kuechly, of all people, has forgotten how to tackle and the rest of
the team is following suit. If the Seahawks have any players who
usually rack up the yards after the catch then you should start them
in Fantasy this week.Q: Carolina is 5-0 at home with a turnover
differential of +10, compared to 1-4 on the road and a differential of
-5. Is there a geographical, environmental, or tangible homefield
advantage for the Panthers (i.e., Seattle is said to have a stadium
that “traps” crowd noise) or is there nothing much going on besides
the regular assumptions about playing better at home?A: Bank of
America Stadium has a reputation for being very easy on opposing
teams. The city of Charlotte is filled with transplants from other
areas who brought their rooting interests with them. As such, there is
only now starting to be an adult generation of homegrown Panthers
fans. The stadium itself is often filled with fans of other teams who
bought their seats from disinterested season ticket holders. We can
throw the actual field out of the home field advantage conversation.As
for the Panthers record this season, the Panthers played their early
opponents on the road closely. A divisional loss is never surprising,
so that accounts for the Falcons game. The Washington game was flukey
as all hell. Each of those losses was by one score. The other two
losses were the shellacking by Pittsburgh and last week’s cirque du
ennui with a not-great Lions team. I think it is less about location
and more about this team falling apart at the wrong time of the
season. The Panthers right now are probably just a bad team with a lot
of really good players.Q: By all accounts, it seems as though Carolina
has taken a step back on defense. DVOA ranking is much lower, passing
touchdowns allowed is up
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, sacks are down, yards per carry
allowed is up, and then there’s the 52-point game against the
Steelers. This despite the fact that a lot of the names on defense
seem to be the same, other than the loss of defensive coordinator
Steve Wilks. What’s been the biggest difference in last year’s defense
and this year’s defense; what are the weaknesses?A: Two major factors
drive the Panthers defensive decline. I already mentioned Luke Kuechly
forgetting how to tackle. That never helps. The second factor is the
pass rush is apparently on strike. They haven’t made any public
demands, but neither have they shown up for work this season. I can
only assume that they are holding out for a guarantee of a reasonable
retirement age. 32 year old Mario Addison must be looking at 38 year
old Julius Peppers and wondering how it is possible that the Panthers
haven’t made any effort to find younger talent at their positions.Q:
Over the last seven games, D.J. Moore has caught 28 of 35 targets for
420 yards and carried it six times for 112. Is Carolina’s first round
rookie finally the number one target that the Panthers have been
looking for to pair with Cam Newton since Steve Smith’s departure?
What’s held back Devin Funchess and Curtis Samuel from breaking out,
assuming you agree that they have not “broken out”?A: Moore is
absolutely going to be that guy. It is kind of eerie how similar his
game is to Smith’s. Moore’s physical play style makes him seem bigger
than he is when on the ground. He also has Smitty’s hitherto unique
talent of breaking huge plays only to be tackled inside the ten yard
line. Devin Funchess may technically be the Panthers number one wide
receiver, but DJ Moore is already their best.As for why Funchess and
Samuel haven’t broken out, those are two different stories. Funchess
has pretty much hit his ceiling. He is about as good a number two guy
as you can ask for, but he isn’t going to carry a team. Samuel, on the
other hand, is still a bit of an unknown. Injuries hampered his rookie
season and opportunity has been the struggle this year. That said,
Samuel, Moore, and Christian McCaffrey have very complementary skill
sets. The Panthers are a blast to watch when the three of them are on
the field at the same time.Q: Have you heard of Michael Dickson?A:
Peripherally, yes. I have heard he is dropping big balls or something
like that. I’m not sure where the labor laws even fall on signing
somebody that young to an NFL contract, but it sure as hell sounds
like a better summer job than I ever had in high school. Through the
first twelve games of 2018 Russell Wilson has tossed 29 touchdown
passes, and earlier this year I took a look at every scoring pass he
had thrown through the first eight weeks of the season. Now seems like
an opportune moment to look at each of the touchdown passes he has
thrown in the five games since then. I’ll simply start with his
touchdown passes against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 9 and work
my way forward. Touchdown 17: Week 9 against the Los Angeles Chargers
7:02 in the first quarter against Cover-3 zone.Touchdown 18: Week 9
against the Los Angeles Chargers 1:53 in the fourth quarter against
Cover-3 zone.Touchdown 19: Week 10 against the Los Angeles Rams 11:23
in the first quarter against a single high safety. Touchdown 20: Week
10 against the Los Angeles Rams 4:27 in the third quarter against a
single high safety.Touchdown 21: Week 10 against the Los Angeles Rams
2:00 in the fourth quarter against cover-0 (no high safety). Touchdown
22: Week 11 against the Green Bay Packers 8:07 in the second quarter
against cover-0 (no high safety). Touchdown 23: Week 11 against the
Green Bay Packers 5:11 in the fourth quarter against a single high
safety. Touchdown 24: Week 12 against the Carolina Panthers 6:48 in
the third quarter against two high safeties. Touchdown 25: Week 12
against the Carolina Panthers 3:33 in the fourth quarter against a
single high safety. Touchdown 26: Week 13 against the San Francisco
49ers 1:32 in the first quarter against two high safeties. Touchdown
27: Week 13 against the San Francisco 49ers 13:49 in the second
quarter against cover-3. Touchdown 28: Week 13 against the San
Francisco 49ers 1:20 in the second quarter against cover-3. Touchdown
29: Week 13 against the San Francisco 49ers 14:24 in the fourth
quarter against cover-3. In short, in looking at the 29 touchdown
passes Wilson has tossed this season, only four of them have come when
the defense was playing two high safeties. Further, the longest
touchdown the Seahawks have thrown against a defense playing two high
safeties has beentwelve yards in length, while more than half of
Wilson’s scoring tosses have come from 15 or more yards against a
single high safety or no safety. Why is that? It’s simply the system.
As I’ve noted multiple times throughout the course of the season, the
Air Coryell system is designed to stress the defense by getting five
receivers in the pattern and then attacking the weak part of the
defense. In this system the pre-snap reads are vital, as they
determine where the primary target is for the quarterback. On Tuesday
I took a look at why the Hawks keep running on second and long, and
how the data seems to show that this may be no more than a function of
how the safeties are aligning. In order to further support this idea
that the pre-snap reads for this system dictate what the offense does,
let’s take a look at Russell Wilson’s game log for 2018 and focus on
his touchdown passes. Russell Wilson 2018
GamelogWeekOppCmpAttCmp%TDIntRateSkYdsYdsWeekOppCmpAttCmp%TDIntRateSkYdsYdsLooking
at that, it becomes pretty apparent that Wilson has shredded defenses
this season
Doug
Baldwin Color Rush Jersey
, but that Week 4 game against the
Arizona Cardinals certainly stands out. What is up with Wilson having
at least one touchdown pass in every game except against one of the
worst teams in the NFL? Well, for that, let’s flip on some film and
look at how Arizona lined up defensively against the Hawks. Here is
how they aligned defensively on the first five plays of the game. The
first four of those plays were runs, with the Hawks only running out
of the five wide formation with no back in the backfield for Wilson to
give the ball to. What is readily apparent is that even when the
Cardinals are playing with just a single deep safety, they are playing
a soft zone. That is what Arizona does under head coach Steve Wilks.
Wilks was hired by the Cardinals from the Carolina Panthers where he
coached under Ron Rivera. Rivera and Wilks first worked together for
the Chicago Bears under Lovie Smith, and where they ran the Tampa-2
that Smith had learned under Tony Dungy. In short, the Tampa-2 is the
defense that typically gives the Air Coryell offense the most problems
because it takes away the deep pass and forces the offense to
repeatedly execute and work down the field in chunks. It’s basically
the same concept as Pete Carroll’s cover-3, but the Tampa-2 doesn’t
require an All World safety with insane range like Earl Thomas to be
successful because the safeties have less ground to cover. During the
1999 NFL season when the St. Louis Rams and their greatest show on
turf were lighting up the scoreboard, NFL teams averaged 20.8 points
per game. The Rams that season averaged 32.9 points per game, and were
held under that league average of 20.8 points only once. That lone
game where the Rams were held below league average? It was the NFC
Championship game against the All World defense of the Tampa Bay
Buccaneers, which, of course, ran the Tampa-2 under Tony Dungy.
Getting back to the Week 4 game against the Cardinals, let’s take a
look at Russell Wilson’s passing chart against the Cards, courtesy of
NFL’s Next Gen Stats. That’s a whole lot of short passes, and only one
attempt deeper than 12 yards. What happened on that lone deep pass
attempt? Was there a coverage breakdown? Was it a scramble drill play?
Well, let’s take a look at the defensive alignment when the ball was
snapped. Simply put, on the one play where Wilson tried to complete a
pass of deeper than 12 yards, the Cardinals were not in a soft zone.
So, what happened after that? The Cardinals went right back to their
soft zone alignment, as is seen on the pre-snap alignment for the next
five plays. Why am I going into all of this heading into the Monday
Night Football game against the Minnesota Vikings? Well, simply put,
and as I’ll look at more over the next several days, the Vikings do a
mixture of things which could give the Seahawks offense problems. Does
that mean they’ll shut down the Hawks? Not at all.It just means that
the Hawks will need to be on their game and ready to execute.
nikita
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# 16.01.2019 - 06:25:30
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